UNITOV P-DBM CME propagation model¶
The CME propagation is modeled by using probability distribution functions. This allows us to evaluate the ICME arrival times and velocities along with the uncertainties on the forecast.
References¶
Model summary¶
internal_name: |
unitov_pdb_model |
publisher: |
University of Rome Tor Vergata |
alph_code: |
39A |
id_tmp: |
xx |
identifier: |
aspis:///unitov/pdb_model |
type: |
software |
language: |
Python 3.x |
dependencies: |
numpy, matplotlib, ephem, astroquery, datetime, sunpy |
latest update: |
2023-11-10 12:45:00 |
Parameters¶
name |
scope |
type |
description |
domain |
default |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
V0 |
input |
float |
velocity at launch |
0-10000 |
600 |
sigma_V0 |
input |
float |
error on velocity at launch |
0-500 |
50 |
Time_UTC |
input |
datetime |
t0, datetime of start date |
||
sigma_t0 |
input |
float |
error on start date |
0-10000 |
3000 |
Rs |
input |
float |
distance from the Sun at t0 in R_sun |
0-50 |
21.5 |
dRs |
input |
float |
error on Rs |
0-10 |
1 |
Target |
configuration |
str |
Propagation Target |
Earth |
|
W |
input |
float |
solar wind average velocity |
420,600 |
420 |
sigma_W |
input |
float |
solar wind velocity standard devistion |
50,66 |
50 |
gammaPDF |
configuration |
str |
Type of PDF for Gamma |
NORMAL, LOGNORMAL, SWEPT |
LOGNORMAL |
Phi_CME |
input |
float |
Central meridian distance in degrees |
-90-90 |
|
Sigma_Phi_CME |
input |
float |
Error on Phi |
0-60 |
5 |
Omega |
input |
float |
Half width of the ICME |
10-180 |
60 |
Sigma_Omega |
input |
float |
Error on the the Width of the ICME |
0-60 |
5 |
CME |
output |
PNG image |
Visualization of the ICME propagation |
||
ICME velocity |
output |
PNG image |
Visualization of the distribution of the velocity of the ICME at target |
||
Travel time |
output |
PNG image |
Visualization of the distribution of the travel time of the ICME at target |